Interpretation · ~7 min read
MCID, MIC, MDC, and PASS Are Four Different Questions, Not Four Names for the Same Threshold
Statistics for clinical researchers and surgical trainees
Published
In short
A single outcome score can carry four separate meaningful thresholds, and orthopaedic outcomes papers routinely report several of them side by side, not redundantly. The minimal clinically important difference (MCID) and the minimal important change (MIC) ask whether a change would matter to a patient. The minimal detectable change (MDC) asks whether that change is even distinguishable from the instrument's own measurement error. The patient-acceptable symptom state (PASS) drops the idea of "change" entirely and asks whether the patient's current score, regardless of where they started, is one they'd consider acceptable. A 2024 study of the Oxford Shoulder Score after shoulder arthroplasty established all four for the same instrument, in the same patients, and the numbers don't collapse into each other.6
Four questions wearing one word: "threshold"
Jaeschke, Singer, and Guyatt defined the MCID in 1989 as the smallest change in a score that a patient would perceive as beneficial, small enough that it's still worth continuing a treatment absent excessive cost or side effects.1 The MIC is close enough to this that the two terms are frequently, and confusingly, used as if they were the same thing. Terwee and colleagues' 2021 clarification defines the MIC specifically as a threshold for the smallest within-person change over time above which a patient perceives themselves as importantly changed, and their paper opens by naming the exact problem this creates: so much confusion exists between MIC and MDC as concepts that it calls into question the validity of published values for either one.2 A 2011 critique goes further, cataloguing half a dozen near-synonymous terms in circulation for what is, in most papers, roughly the same idea applied slightly differently by different research groups.3
The MDC is a different kind of number entirely, built from test-retest reliability rather than from anyone's opinion about what matters. It answers whether an observed change is bigger than the noise the instrument produces on repeated administration to a patient whose true condition hasn't changed.4 None of MCID, MIC, or MDC ask about a patient's current state in isolation, only about the size of a change.
PASS breaks that pattern completely. Defined by Tubach and colleagues in 2005, PASS asks a single question with no reference to a starting point at all: given where the patient's score sits right now, would they consider that state acceptable.5 A patient can clear the MCID with a large, clinically important improvement and still not reach PASS, if their baseline was severe enough that even a meaningful gain leaves them somewhere they wouldn't call acceptable. The reverse also holds: a patient who started only mildly affected might already be in an acceptable state with very little change at all.
One dataset, four numbers
A 2024 study established the MCID, MIC, MDC, and PASS of the Oxford Shoulder Score in the same 100 patients following shoulder arthroplasty, using patient satisfaction ratings as the anchor and a distribution-based method for the MDC.6
| Threshold | Value | What it actually answers |
|---|---|---|
| MCID | 6.9 points (95% CI, 0.7–13.1) | Would this size of change matter to a patient? |
| MIC | approx. 11.6 points (95% CI, 6.8–16.4) | Above what within-person change does a patient call themselves importantly changed? |
| MDC | 6.6 points | Is a given change bigger than the instrument's own measurement error? |
| PASS | 29 points or higher (absolute score, not a change) | Is the patient's current state, regardless of starting point, acceptable to them? |
Two things are worth sitting with in that table. First, the MCID (6.9) and MDC (6.6) are close enough here that the authors could conclude a clinically important change on this instrument is also large enough to trust as real, which is not guaranteed and doesn't hold for every instrument.6 Second, and more fundamentally, PASS isn't measured in the same units as the other three at all. It's not a change score with a confidence interval around it; it's a fixed point on the scale itself. Reporting "the mean improvement exceeded the MCID" and "78% of patients reached PASS" in the same results section is not redundant. They are answers to two different questions a patient might reasonably ask: did I get better, and am I okay now.
All four of these values are specific to the instrument, the population, and the follow-up interval in which they were established. An MCID of 6.9 for the Oxford Shoulder Score after shoulder arthroplasty says nothing about its MCID after a different procedure, and the same caveat applies to MIC, MDC, and PASS individually. Match the source population to your own before citing any of the four.
What this changes in a results section
Match the threshold to the question you're actually asking, rather than defaulting to MCID because it's the most familiar term. If the question is whether a change was big enough to matter, report the MCID or MIC, whichever your source population most resembles, and say which one you used since the terms are not interchangeable even when a paper treats them as such. If the question is whether that change is distinguishable from measurement noise, that's the MDC. If the question is whether patients ended up somewhere they'd call acceptable, independent of how far they had to travel to get there, that's PASS, and it needs to be reported as a proportion of patients crossing an absolute cut point, not folded into a change-score narrative where it doesn't belong.
Frequently asked questions
What is the difference between MCID and PASS?
MCID measures whether the size of a change from baseline matters to a patient. PASS (patient-acceptable symptom state) ignores baseline entirely and asks whether the patient's current score, regardless of how they got there, is one they'd consider acceptable.
Are MCID and MIC the same thing?
They are frequently used interchangeably, but the terms are methodologically distinct and the confusion between them is significant enough that it calls into question the validity of some published values for both.
Can a patient clear the MCID without reaching PASS?
Yes. A patient can experience a large, clinically important improvement and still not reach an acceptable symptom state if their starting point was severe enough that even a meaningful gain leaves them below that threshold.
Try it yourself
Get the change and its confidence interval: in SPSS or StatsPlease
None of these four thresholds can be applied until you have the change itself, with an effect size and a confidence interval around it. Here is the click-by-click for a pre-post outcome score (baseline and follow-up in two columns, one row per patient). Comparing the interval against a published threshold is then a reading exercise, not a calculation.
In SPSS
- Open your CSV with one row per patient and two columns, the baseline score and the follow-up score.
- Check the distribution of the change first: Analyze → Descriptive Statistics → Explore, put the difference variable in the Dependent List, and under Plots tick "Normality plots with tests."
- Run the test: Analyze → Compare Means → Paired-Samples T Test. Move baseline and follow-up in as Variable1 and Variable2. Click OK. If Shapiro-Wilk rejected normality, use Analyze → Nonparametric Tests → Legacy Dialogs → 2 Related Samples with Wilcoxon ticked instead.
- Read the mean change and its 95% confidence interval from the output table, then calculate Cohen's d for paired data by hand: SPSS does not report it.
In StatsPlease
- Upload the CSV.
- Open the Analysis tab.
- Set baseline score and follow-up score as the paired Outcome variables.
- Press the Before vs After preset button. There is no separate run step: pressing the preset is what runs the analysis. You pick the preset, not the test, because the engine screens normality itself and routes to the paired t test or Wilcoxon signed-rank accordingly.
- Read the AMA output on the Results tab: the mean change, its 95% confidence interval, the exact P value, and the effect size, in a ready-to-paste sentence (AMA by default, or APA via the Reporting Style picker).
Compare: both tools return identical numbers, because both run the same test on the same data. The difference is what you do next. SPSS leaves you to compute the effect size and assemble the sentence; StatsPlease computes both and formats them, so the only judgement left is the one this post is about, which of the four thresholds your question actually calls for. Every figure is computed by scipy, not generated by ChatGPT or any other LLM, so re-running the same data in R or SPSS returns the same answer.
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References
- Jaeschke R, Singer J, Guyatt GH. Measurement of health status. Ascertaining the minimal clinically important difference. Controlled Clinical Trials. 1989;10(4):407–415. https://doi.org/10.1016/0197-2456(89)90005-6
- Terwee CB, Peipert JD, Chapman R, Lai JS, Terluin B, Cella D, Griffiths P, Mokkink LB. Minimal important change (MIC): a conceptual clarification and systematic review of MIC estimates of PROMIS measures. Quality of Life Research. 2021;30(10):2729–2754. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11136-021-02925-y
- King MT. A point of minimal important difference (MID): a critique of terminology and methods. Expert Review of Pharmacoeconomics & Outcomes Research. 2011;11(2):171–184.
- Beckerman H, Roebroeck ME, Lankhorst GJ, Becher JG, Bezemer PD, Verbeek ALM. Smallest real difference, a link between reproducibility and responsiveness. Quality of Life Research. 2001;10(7):571–578. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1013138911638
- Tubach F, Ravaud P, Baron G, Falissard B, Logeart I, Bellamy N, Bombardier C, Felson D, Hochberg M, van der Heijde D, Dougados M. Evaluation of clinically relevant states in patient reported outcomes in knee and hip osteoarthritis: the patient acceptable symptom state. Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases. 2005;64(1):34–37. https://doi.org/10.1136/ard.2004.023028
- Liu P, Afzal I, Asopa V, Clement ND, Patel V. Changes and thresholds in the Oxford Shoulder Score following shoulder arthroplasty: minimal clinically important difference, minimal important and detectable changes, and patient-acceptable symptom state. Shoulder & Elbow. 2024. https://doi.org/10.1177/17585732231176423
StatsPlease computes the effect size and confidence interval for your own pre-post data and reports both in AMA format, so checking a result against whichever threshold you actually need doesn't mean reaching for a calculator by hand. Upload your CSV, set your paired Outcome variables, and press the Before vs After preset; for two independent groups, press Group Comparison instead. Pressing the preset is what runs the analysis, and the numbers are computed from your data, not generated.
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